葡萄牙专家解析美洲杯 曾连中11场创纪录

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Rafa是葡萄牙籍职业足彩专家，被成为世界上掌握巴西联赛信息最多的人。凭借着葡语的优势，他对南美地区的球队也非常熟悉，下面是他为彩民朋友们带来本届美洲杯的视频解析，请点击查看：

美洲杯再度来袭，在看球的同时我们也可以有些盈利。美洲杯是一项历史悠久的赛事，我将为大家提供些信息和赛事分析。接下来会提到我个人对个支参赛球队在大赛中的大致定位。本届美洲杯将在巴西举行，两支受邀参赛的球队分别是卡塔尔和日本。

本届赛事夺冠热门是巴西、阿根廷和乌拉圭。如果冠军并非这三者之一，会很令人惊讶。哥伦比亚有可能会向冠军发起冲击，但想要夺冠比较难。

8支球队将从小组赛中出线，其中包含2个成绩最好的小组第三

A组成员：巴西、秘鲁、委内瑞拉、玻利维亚

巴西是赛事的承办国，球队整体实力优秀，希望以小组第一出线并争取冠军。队内主力内马尔因伤退赛有一定影响，但是球员本人面临指控，状态会受影响。他退出比赛其实对巴西队来讲并不是坏事，球员会更团结。巴西队在最近一场比赛中7-0大胜洪都拉斯，球员协作能力很强，压力不算太大。巴西状态不俗，将去全力争冠。

秘鲁和委内瑞拉将争夺小组第二，秘鲁是出线热门，但本次我更看好委内瑞拉。秘鲁球员年龄普遍偏大，像格雷罗等人，已经进入职业生涯的中后期了。委内瑞拉球员比较年轻，队内有隆冬（现效力于英超纽卡斯尔队）等实力出色的球员。首轮秘鲁和委内瑞拉将直接交手，或将提前上演争二大战。

关于玻利维亚，我认为取队可能小组赛3战全败。球队实力有限，是南美地区实力最差的球队。玻利维亚在自己的主场表现很好，因为作用高原优势，但所有比赛都在巴西进行，对玻利维亚来讲友有些艰难。

B组成员：阿根廷、哥伦比亚、巴拉圭、和受邀球队卡塔尔

阿根提小组很有希望获得小组第一，但是哥伦比亚不容小视。阿根廷进攻端人才济济，梅西、阿奎罗能力都非常出色，但是技战术方面频频出现问题。有时球队发挥特别差，有时能够轻松大胜。

小组前两位预计是阿根廷和哥伦比亚。哥伦比亚实力不俗，法尔考、J罗实力都很强。球队聘请了经验丰富的葡萄牙名帅卡洛斯·奎罗斯，明智的选择。哥伦比亚在最近的友谊赛中表现很好，技战术严谨战意强，有成为黑马的潜质。进攻端法尔考不容小视。

巴拉圭，我认为球队实力有限，36岁的卡尔多佐在欧洲联赛结束又被征召近国家队中，可见用人局促。想要出线球队要击败卡塔尔，然后爆冷击败哥伦比亚或者阿根廷，但我个人感觉不太可能。球队在最近的友谊赛中发挥一般，把握机会的能力需要提升。从比赛中能看出球队确实实力有限。

卡塔尔是现任亚洲杯冠军，但能夺冠有些出人意料。球队在技战术上有一定的局限，但是友谊赛中面对巴西表现不俗，压迫逼抢到位，传球比较精准。面对巴拉圭，卡塔尔有能力和对手抗衡，但是面对阿根廷和哥伦比亚，抗衡力明显不足。

C组成员：乌拉圭、智利、厄瓜多尔和受邀球队日本

这组实力相对均衡。乌拉圭和智利是出线热门，但是厄瓜多尔也有机会。日本可能会是小组垫底，球队是受邀嘉宾，带了U23队去积累经验，备战明年奥运会。

乌拉圭阵容和18年世界杯时基本相同，进攻端苏亚雷斯和卡瓦尼都是世界级的前锋，个人能力不俗。乌拉圭攻防体系较为均衡，球队希望争取冠军，而且也有实力做到这点。球队处于一个相对艰难的小组，但我认为乌拉圭还是出线的热门。

智利是近2届美洲杯的冠军，但最近1次夺冠是在2016年，18年世界杯球队发挥不理想。连任2届冠军，智利有些松懈了，表现没有之前好。虽然队内有比达尔、桑切斯等优秀球员，但缺乏战意，我认为智利在本届比赛中表现会令人失望。

厄瓜多尔技战术方面不如智利，但球队状态不错。球队希望顺利通过小组赛并走的更远。我认为厄瓜多尔甚至有希望争取小组第二。进攻端右瓦伦西亚领先，球员速度很快。球队在友谊赛中表现很好，有望在美洲杯中取得理想成绩。

日本带了U23阵容参赛，队内只有7人曾为成年队出战，球队实力有限。我认为日本队想取得些成绩会很难。队内有个别球员很有潜力，但整体实力的不强。

小组赛预测总结，A组巴西将以小组第一出线，第二在秘鲁和委内瑞拉之间；B组出线的将是阿根廷和哥伦比亚；C组乌拉圭将以小组第一出线，我个人认为厄瓜多尔可能会力压智利出线。最终巴西、阿根廷和乌拉圭将是争冠的热门，哥伦比亚实力略逊色。

原文：

America's Cup will start and we will make money and enjoy the good football the teams have to show. It is the oldest competition in the world and I bring all the information and a preview for you. I'll tell you what I expect from each team and what each one can achieve in the competition. This year will be held in Brazil and has as attraction the two Asian guests. Qatar and Japan.

This year the main favorites are the inevitable Brazil and Argentina, and Uruguay. It will be a big surprise if the winner is not one of these 3. Maybe Colombia can dream of the victory but I find it difficult.

It will pass the next phase 8 teams. The two best of each group and the two best third classified.

Group A is made up of Brazil, Peru, Venezuela and Bolivia.

Brazil plays at home, is the best in quality, wants to win the title and they will pass first in this group. They had a big problem and Neymar is out due to injury. But he is facing a rape charge and was not very well psychologically. There was a lot of pressure on the team and I see as a positive thing the absence of him. They lose a lot in terms of quality, but they earn a lot collectively. In the last game won 7-0 against Honduras and saw a more collective team, without so much pressure. They played very well and go moralized for the first game.

Second place will be a great fight between Peru and Venezuela, Peru is a favorite but I see Venezuela at a better time, while Peru has an older player base, and at the end of the cycle, for example the Guerrero. Venezuela have a young team with a lot of potential with some good players like Rondon who play in Newcastle and they are very eager to surprise. The first game will be between them and can decide who passes second.

The last team is Bolivia and I believe they will lose all 3 games. They are very limited, they are the weakest team in South America, when they play at home they are very strong due to altitude, but playing in Brazil will have many difficulties in every game.

Group B made up of Argentina, Colombia, Paraguay and the guest Qatar.

Argentina is the main candidate to pass in first place but it has the great competition of Colombia. This is because Argentina has a lot of quality in the attack with Messi and Aguero, but it is always a question of how they will play. They can make a horrible game, or win by many goal difference without problem.

The two places should be between Argentina and Colombia, Colombia has a lot of quality with players like Falc?o and James Rodriguez and they have hired Queiroz, a Portuguese coach with a lot of experience in national teams. I have seen Colombia's friendly games and they are very well collectively, playing a very good football. Organized tactically and with a lot of motivation to surprise and try to win the competition. With the Falc?o to command the attack can not be underestimated.

Paraguay I do not see them in great time, besides lack of quality. O. Cardozo at 36 was summoned, when he returned to the country after playing in Europe. This demonstrates how quality does not abound. They have to win to Qatar and try to surprise Colombia or Argentina, which I think is unlikely. They usually tend to be good tactically, but what I saw in the latter friendly did not leave me optimistic about their chances. They are playing very poorly, besides the lack of quality.

Qatar is the current Asian champion but up to that title was a surprise. They have a very limited technical team but I saw their friendly game against Brazil and they were very good tactically. They make high pressure and try to play a football with a change of passes. They can make a good result against Paraguay and should not be humiliated by Argentina and Colombia.

Group C is made up by Uruguay, Chile, Ecuador and Japan. It can be said that it is the most balanced group.

Uruguay and Chile are the two big favorites to the first two places but Ecuador wants one of those places and has everything to achieve. Japan should be in last place because as some guests have brought an under-23 team to prepare for the Olympics next year.

Uruguay has the same base as the 2018 World Cup. The attack with L. Suarez and Cavani is one of the best in the world, with a very good tactically and aggressively defensive team behind them. They want the title and have quality and organization to achieve. Despite being a difficult group I see them as the main candidates.

Chile are the two champions of the Copa America, but the last was in 2016 and after that they already failed the 2018 World Cup. The players won these 2 titles and it seems that they lost their motivation, they do not play the same football anymore. Although they have good players like Vidal and A. Sanchez, they are no longer motivated to win. I believe they will be the disappointment of the Copa América.

Ecuador despite being more technically limited than Chile, arrive at a better time. They want to pass and are playing very well. I believe they can surprise and take second place in this group. With Enner Valencia on the attack, they are a very fast team. They made a good friendly games and may be the surprise of the Copa América.

Japan came with an under-23 team, only 7 players have already played for the national team of Japan. This demonstrates the fragility of this team. I believe they will have many difficulties and can not dream big things. Teem Okazaki and Nakajima but they should not be able to make good results due to the fragility of the other players.

That will be it, Group A Brazil at first without problems and then a great fight between Peru and Venezuela. Group B will be Argentina and Colombia without any surprise. And in Group C, Uruguay first and here I believe that there may be the surprise of Ecuador in relation to Chile. In the end, it must end between Brazil, Argentina or Uruguay, there is hardly a surprise in relation to title, Colombia maybe but I doubt.

Thank you and we will make money from this competition.

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将足篮彩变理财，看球赚钱两不误，轻松一点即可尝试>>>>红彩官网